Should you discover trawling by a Melbourne Cup kind information extra daunting than public talking, don’t fret, we’ve received a easy manner that will help you select which horse to again in the primary occasion this afternoon — and it’ll be over in 60 seconds.
It’s even faster this yr as a result of the sector is right down to 22 after POINT NEPEAN and LUNAR FLARE had been late scratchings.
Let’s proceed by discarding the outsiders. Solely three horses previously 30 years — Twilight Cost ($27 in 2020), Prince Of Penzance ($101 in 2015) and Considered ($41 in 2008) — have received the race at odds greater than $20.
With that in thoughts, you possibly can really feel considerably protected in ruling out GOLD TRIP ($21), DUAIS ($23), NUMERIAN ($51), CAMORRA ($61), STOCKMAN ($21), VOW AND DECLARE ($21), YOUNG WERTHER ($34), SERPENTINE ($41), DAQIANSWEET JUNIOR ($51), GRAND PROMENADE ($61), ARAPAHO ($41), EMISSARY ($31), TRALEE ROSE ($51), HIGH EMOCEAN ($31) and INTERPRETATION ($51).
See how straightforward that is whenever you’re ready to be ruthless?
That brings us all the way in which down to only seven horses nonetheless looking for the win.
You’ll must forgive us for the following cuts, as a result of we’re about to get just a little sexist — and ageist.
Simply sixteen occasions — roughly one in 10 Melbourne Cups — has the race been received by a feminine horse.
So women, MONTEFILIA and REALM OF FLOWERS, you’re out.
Subsequent step is to take a look at the start certificates. There hasn’t been a three-year-old winner of the race since 1941 so despite the fact that DEAUVILLE LEGEND is a red-hot favorite, he has to affix fellow 3yo HOO YA MAL on the exit checklist.
And of the 161 winners of the good race solely 14 have been seven years or older. So apologies to KNIGHTS ORDER, however the veteran’s received to go.
With two horses left, it’s time to get just a little superstitious.
WITHOUT A FIGHT is rated considered one of two horses who can win the race by punters.com.au, however he’s drawn barrier 18, which has solely produced one Cup winner within the final 50 years.
Which leaves us with the Ciaron Maher and Dave Eustace-trained SMOKIN’ ROMANS.
What a thrill it might be for Jamie Kah to turn out to be the second feminine jockey to win the Melbourne Cup after she thought of quitting the game after a tough run lately.
In response to racing analyst Andrew Hawkins, Smokin’ Romans can also be “the very best worth of any horse within the subject”.
“He has been a revelation this marketing campaign – and he nonetheless seems so properly weighted, too,” Hawkins wrote for Betfair.
“All the things has been geared in direction of getting him to this race and he appears to be like to have had the best preparation to fireside.”